The Bills would have the fourth overall pick if the NFL season ended today.
Carolina is the only team at 1-10. The Bills, Bengals and Lions all are 2-9. The tie-breaker for the draft order is strength of schedule, with the weaker schedule used to determine which team picks sooner. Head-to-head matchups mean nothing for the draft order. (The Bills beat the Bengals and Lions.)
The Bills have played the toughest schedule of the bottom four teams so far. Win totals of Carolina's 16 opponents to date: 102. Win total of the Lions' foes: 98. WIn total of the Bengals' foes: 103. WIn total of the Bills' foes: 104.