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AccuScore projects Bills as playoff team -- barely

By Tim Graham

AccuScore is my favorite sports forecaster. Its system is analytical and thorough, formulating predictions through computer simulations. AccuScore runs the data 10,000 times and comes up with a percentage likelihood that something may take place.

AccuScore has been previewing the divisions and has a favorable prospectus for the Buffalo Bills in the AFC East.

The Bills averaged 8.3 victories in AccuScore's simulations, won the AFC East 8.7 percent of the time and made the playoffs 31.2 percent of the time.

The playoff percentage might not sound all that wonderful, but it's the sixth-highest in the conference; six teams make the postseason.

Close behind the Bills were the New York Jets at 8.1 wins, a 7.4 percent likelihood of winning the division and a 28.2 percent likelihood of getting into the tournament.

As you could imagine, the New England Patriots were the clear favorites. They averaged 11.3 victories, won the division in 79.5 percent of the simulations and went to the playoffs in 91.8 percent.

AccuScore's computers had the Miami Dolphins at the bottom, but not too far behind the Bills. The Dolphins averaged 7.4 wins. But that nine-tenths of a victory makes a big difference when it comes to the Dolphins' likelihood of winning the AFC East (4.4 percent) or going to the playoffs (18.2 percent).

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About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham |

Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is a former president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan |

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski |