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AccuScore projects Bills victory, respectable scores

By Tim Graham

The Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns have produced some low-scoring duds in recent years.

Who can forget the Bills' 13-6 tour de force in 2010?

Or that rollicking 6-3 Browns victory in 2009?

Or that 8-0 Browns masterpiece in 2007?

Thankfully, AccuScore projects Sunday's game at Cleveland Browns Stadium to feature many more points than those.

The Bills won 59.3 percent of AccuScore's 10,000 simulations and scored an average of 24.2 points. The Browns averaged 20.6 points.

AccuScore also detected a decent chance the Bills and Browns get into a shootout. In 18 percent of the simulations, both teams scored at least 24 points. But in those scenarios, the Bills still won 56 percent of the time.

AccuScore mentioned the forecast calls for turnovers. Ryan Fitzpatrick and Brandon Weeden combined to average almost three interceptions a game.

If the Browns can't contain C.J. Spiller and he rushes for at least 85 yards and a touchdown, then the Bills are 81 percent favorites.

But if the Browns can hold Spiller to less than 4 yards a carry while Trent Richardson averages at least 5 yards a carry, then the Browns jump to 61 percent favorites.

As for the season outlook, the Bills won the AFC East in 8.6 percent of AccuScore's latest run of simulations and qualified for the playoffs 31.1 percent of the time.

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About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham |

Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is a former president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan |

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski |