Skip to primary navigation Skip to main content

AccuScore: Rough game ahead for Fitzpatrick

By Tim Graham

FitzpatrickMugThe Buffalo Bills' fate in Sunday's season opener will depend on quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick.

Sure, that's a simplified statement. But the analysts and computers at AccuScore can give us the hard math after 10,000 computer simulations.

Overall, the New York Jets won 58.8 percent of the simulations and averaged 23 points a game at the Meadowlands.

The Bills averaged 19.6 points. Fitzpatrick completed just 51 percent of his throws for 170 yards and one touchdown with 1.4 interceptions.

But where the results shift are when Fitzpatrick threw more touchdowns than interceptions. He did so in only 28 percent of the simulations. But within those 28 percent, the Bills won 66 percent of the time.

In the Jets' sim victories, quarterback Mark Sanchez had a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 1.2 to 0.7 and they rushed for 150 yards as a team.

comments powered by Disqus
Advertisement

About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham | tgraham@buffnews.com


Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is a former president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan | mgaughan@buffnews.com


Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski | jskurski@buffnews.com

Subscribe

Advertisement