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Prediction Machine awards Bills narrowest triumph

By Tim Graham

The Buffalo Bills will win but won't cover the 3-point spread Sunday against the Cleveland Browns. So says the Prediction Machine after its 50,000 simulations.

Sunday's forecast is so tight the Bills won 50.1 percent of the time, but got outscored by an average of 20.0 points to 20.2 points in the simulations.

What's remarkable about the Prediction Machine is that it not only projects the final score, but also the entire box score.

Some highlights:

* Bills quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick's average stat line was 19 of 33 for 204 yards and 1.6 touchdowns with 1.5 interceptions.

* Browns quarterback Brandon Weeden averaged 21 of 36 for 233 yards and 1.2 touchdowns with 1.7 interceptions.

* Browns running back Trent Richardson outdueled leading NFL rusher C.J. Spiller on the ground. Richardson ran 21 times for 117 yards and 0.8 touchdowns in the simulations. Spiller ran 17 times for 94 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.

* Bills receiver Stevie Johnson averaged five catches for 66 yards and 0.6 touchdowns. Tight end Scott Chandler averaged five catches for 47.5 yards and 0.5 touchdowns.

* The Bills' defense averaged 2.4 sacks.

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About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham |

Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is a former president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan |

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski |