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AccuScore: Bills favored over Jets, even more with Sanchez starting


By Tim Graham

In real life, the Buffalo Bills have played like a team ready for the offseason to commence.

AccuScore's computers predict the Bills will finish the season with authority.

And with the New York Jets reverting from third-string quarterback Greg McElroy to former starter Mark Sanchez, the Bills actually are bigger favorites.

In 10,000 AccuScore simulations of Sunday's matchup in Ralph Wilson Stadium, the Bills beat the Jets 61.6 percent of the time. The Bills averaged 23.9 points to the Jets' 19.0 points.

With McElroy in the formula, the Bills won 60.6 percent of the sims, and the Jets averaged 19.8 points.

The numbers are counterintuitive.

Sanchez has had fabulous success against Buffalo. He has won five straight after a disastrous first game.

He posted a season-high 123.4 passer rating against the Bills on opening day at the Meadowlands. He completed 70.4 percent of his passes for 266 yards and three touchdowns with one interception.

In AccuScore's sims, Bills running C.J. Spiller averaged 109 rushing yards on almost 6 yards a carry. The Jets held Spiller to less than 100 yards in 50 percent of the games. When the Jets did, they became 58 percent favorites.

(Photo: Getty Images)

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About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham |

Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is a former president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan |

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski |