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AccuScore gives Bills 0.5 percent chance for postseason

By Tim Graham

Cue the Lloyd Christmas quote.

In AccuScore's 10,000 simulations for the rest of the NFL season, the Buffalo Bills made the playoffs 0.5 percent of the time.

The Bills went into last Sunday with a 3.5 percent chance to get in, even though they were coming off a victory over the Jacksonville Jaguars. Two weeks ago, they had a 12.7 percent chance.

The Bills have a much better shot when it comes to winning Sunday in Toronto, but the Seattle Seahawks still are big favorites.

Seattle won 59.1 percent of the simulations and averaged 24.8 points. Buffalo averaged 21.6 points.

Running backs Marshawn Lynch and C.J. Spiller will be in the spotlight.

Lynch averaged 4.7 yards a carry and 0.7 touchdowns in the sims. Spiller's stats were unavailable, but when he had more rushing yards than Lynch, the Bills won 65 percent of the time. When Lynch outrushed Spiller, the Seahawks' chances inflated to 80 percent.

Bills quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick averaged 1.2 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions in the simulations, while Russell Wilson posted a 2-to-1 TD-to-interception ratio.

Fitzpatrick had more touchdowns than interceptions in 39 percent of the sims, and when they occurred, the Bills won 60 percent.

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About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham |

Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is a former president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan |

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski |