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Data shows Bills should stop whining and start winning

By Tim Graham

Had the Buffalo Bills implemented their robust analytics department by now, perhaps they could've run the league-wide schedule numbers over the past few years and discovered they can't win when their opponents don't have prep time either.

SharpFootballAnalysis.com didn't care for the Bills' assertion that they've been treated unfairly by NFL schedule-makers and presented data that shows the Bills probably should pipe down.

On the team's sanctioned website, Chris Brown noted the Bills have a league-high six games this year against an opponent with extra time to prepare because they either come off a bye week or play Thursday night the week before.

Brown declares the scheudle-making process is unfair and should be changed.

SharpFootballAnalysis.com, a site that offers analytic information for sports bettors, noted that while last year's Bills tied for the third-worst schedule in terms of an opponent's time off (an average of 7.13 rest days), they also had the league's third-easiest schedule.

The Bills went 6-10.

In 2011, though, teams played Buffalo after an average of 6.53 rest days. That was more favorable than the league average, with 18 teams having it worse than Buffalo, which had more rest than an opponent three times and less rest two times.

The Bills went 6-10.

In 2010, the Bills faced opponents coming off an average of 6.47 rest days. Eighteen teams had it worse. Once did the Bills have more rest, and once did they have less rest.

The Bills went 4-12.

And how about in 2009? Opponents were off an average of 5.93 days before playing the Bills. Only five teams had it better. The Bills had three games with more rest that their opponents and two games with less rest.

The Bills went 6-10.

SharpFootballAnalysis.com also shows that over the past four seasons, teams that ranked among the three worst in "average opponent rest days" went a combined 110-98.

Extract the Bills' record last season, and the aggregate is 104-88, or a .541 win percentage -- a borderline playoff team.

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About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham | tgraham@buffnews.com


Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is a former president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan | mgaughan@buffnews.com


Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski | jskurski@buffnews.com

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