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Analyst takes contrarian view, bullish on Bills receiving corps

By Tim Graham

When examining depth on the Buffalo Bills' roster, many analysts find receiver to be shallow.

NFL.com recently rated the worst position groups and listed Buffalo at wide receiver. On the Press Coverage blog last week, we discussed how troubled Buffalo would be if Stevie Johnson were unavailable.

Behind Johnson, the talent is mediocre or unproven.

All that said, ESPN and Scouts Inc. analyst Matt Williamson loves what the Bills are doing at receiver. He sees a collection of talent that can enter a game in various situations and give defenses problems.

Continue reading "Analyst takes contrarian view, bullish on Bills receiving corps" »

Stevie Johnson eager to start building chemistry with his QBs

By Jay Skurski

Bills receiver Stevie Johnson doesn't sound overly concerned about it, but is frustrated that a strained lower back has kept him from participating in the team's first three days of organized team activities.

"It's just frustrating seeing the guys run around, but it's getting better," Johnson said today after practice. "I guess this is just a timing thing. I'm just doing everything that they're telling me to, doing the weight room stuff. Of course inside the playbook. Whenever they give me the green light, I'll be ready to go."

Entering his sixth season, Johnson is the second-most experienced receiver on the roster behind Brad Smith. That makes him one of the veteran leaders in a receiver room filled with young players.

Continue reading "Stevie Johnson eager to start building chemistry with his QBs" »

Video: The Bills and the crop of free-agent wideouts


Watch all the segments from the most recent Bucky & Sully Show here.

Stevie Johnson excited to learn who his new WR mates will be

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Stevie Johnson is eager to see how the Buffalo Bills will juggle their wide-receiver depth chart for 2013. (Photo: James P. McCoy/Buffalo News)
 

By Tim Graham

Stevie Johnson accounted for a preponderance of the numbers posted by Buffalo Bills wide receivers the past two years.

Subtract the contributions from David Nelson and Donald Jones, as the club did when it announced it won't re-sign them, and Johnson practically is on his own.

Of the wide receivers still on Buffalo's roster, Johnson has been responsible for 70 percent of the catches, 74 percent of the receiving yards and 76 percent of the receiving touchdowns in 2011 and 2012.

Continue reading "Stevie Johnson excited to learn who his new WR mates will be" »

PFF analytics show which Bills provided most, least value in 2012

By Tim Graham

When the Buffalo Bills rebooted their operations in January, a point of emphasis was the creation of an analytics department. While no details have been divulged on how the Bills will implement analytics, a common usage around the league is in determining contract values.

ProFootballFocus.com, one of the most popular analytics sites, has applied its metrics to the Bills' 2012 roster to determine who underperformed and outperformed their salary-cap figures last year.

You can check out PFF for its explanation of each player, but here are the lists:

Undervalued

  • 1. Jairus Byrd, safety
  • 2. C.J. Spiller, running back
  • 3. Andy Levitre, left guard
  • 4. Kyle Williams, defensive tackle
  • 5. Alex Carrington, defensive tackle
  • 6. George Wilson, safety
  • 7. Nick Barnett, linebacker
  • 8. Scott Chandler, tight end
  • 9. Bryan Scott, linebacker
  • 10. Cordy Glenn, left tackle

Overvalued

  • 1. Mario Williams, defensive end
  • 2. Chris Kelsay, defensive end
  • 3. Ryan Fitzpatrick, quarterback
  • 4. Brad Smith, wide receiver
  • 5. Terrence McGee, cornerback
  • 6. Spencer Johnson, defensive tackle
  • 7. Mark Anderson, defensive end
  • 8. Tyler Thigpen, quarterback
  • 9. Erik Pears, right tackle
  • 10. Shawne Merriman, defensive end

The Bills already have released two of the PFF's 10 most undervalued players (Barnett and Wilson). Byrd, Levitre and Scott could become unrestricted free agents in a couple weeks.

From the overvalued list, the Bills have dumped McGee. Kelsay announced his retirement Wednesday night. From the free agents on the list, we safely can assume Thigpen won't be back, Merriman's probably a goner and Johnson isn't worth re-signing.

With Donald Jones already gone, Bills dismiss David Nelson, too

By Tim Graham

First Donald Jones, now David Nelson.

The Buffalo Bills have declined to re-sign their second-leading receiver from each of the past two years.

Two days after Nelson expressed alarm about learning on Twitter the Bills would not bring him back, the Bills announced Sunday they will not extend a qualifying offer to him.

Nelson was a restricted free agent. Without a tendered offer, he will be free to sign with any team without the Bills receiving compensation.

"We spoke with David Nelson’s agent this morning and informed him that we will not tender David," Bills GM Buddy Nix said in a statement released by the team.

Continue reading "With Donald Jones already gone, Bills dismiss David Nelson, too" »

Poll: Who should be cut to clear Buffalo Bills salary-cap space?

By Tim Graham

Which Buffalo Bills players would you dump to clear more room under the salary cap for 2013?

Buffalo News reporter Mark Gaughan cast a spotlight on the Bills' salary-cap situation in today's paper and listed the top dozen cap figures for the upcoming season.

Gaughan reported Buffalo's decision to lop linebacker Nick Barnett and safety George Wilson from the roster puts it $20.9 million under the NFL's projected $121 million cap.

Factor in how much the Bills will need to spend on their draft class and to retain players such as safety Jairus Byrd, and the Bills don't have much wiggle room to re-sign left guard Andy Levitre or bring aboard noteworthy free-agent help.

So take a look at the Bills' top 12 cap figures and vote for the one player you'd most want to dump.

Do Brad Smith and the wildcat have a future in Buffalo?

By Tim Graham

Doug Marrone's last season as an NFL play-caller was for the New Orleans Saints in 2008. That was the year the Miami Dolphins introduced the wildcat formation, so we don't know how viable Marrone believes it can be as an NFL device.

Marrone did, however, use the wildcat -- or "stallion," as he sometimes called it -- on occasion as Syracuse's head coach.

With that in mind, it's worth reviewing how effective the Buffalo Bills were with the wildcat last season. The players former head coach Chan Gailey used in the direct-snap formation still are on the roster for Marrone to consider.

"It's an effective play, and you can be successful at it," Bills receiver/quarterback/wildcat pilot Brad Smith told me recently.

Smith claimed the Bills' version of the wildcat last year wasn't too far removed from the pistol, zone-read offenses popularized by the San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks last year.

"When you talk about Wildcat, people kind of group it incorrectly," Smith said. "Wildcat is two running backs and you run a dive or a counter play or things like that. The way we ran it was a zone read or speed option with sweeps.

"You have to account for 11 people. With the quarterback in the game, it's often 10 against 11. That's why it's been so successful in the playoffs when you have to account for every single guy."

The wildcat was a bad word around Western New York last season. Stats indicate it was effective, but the timing of certain calls and critical errors out of the formation made fans weary.

Gailey called 28 wildcat plays last year. Smith was the quarterback for almost all of them. Tashard Choice handled it three times. Fred Jackson took one snap.

C.J. Spiller ended up with the ball six times for 26 yards, including runs of 7, 7, 7 and 9 yards.

On 26 wildcat plays (penalties wiped out two), the Bills gained 175 yards and scored two touchdowns. The Bills averaged a respectable 6.7 yards, but 62 of their yards came on two plays.

Smith threw a wildcat interception that jeopardized an eventual victory over the Arizona Cardinals in Week Six. On 46 percent of their wildcat plays, the Bills were stopped for 2 yards or less.

A wildcat breakdown by situation: first down (15 times), second down (nine times), third down (four times and not before Week Seven), 10 yards to go (16 times), 3 yards or less to go (five times), farther than 10 yards (twice).

Gailey's preference to call a wildcat play most frequently on first-and-10 discounts the value the formation has in short-yardage situations.

Nevertheless, Smith is under contract through the 2014 season at base salaries of $2.75 million this year and $3 million next year.

Gailey couldn't seem to figure out how to use Smith, who was the third quarterback in the summer and then a receiver again by the time the season began. But only Spiller, Stevie Johnson and Scott Chandler scored more touchdowns than Smith did.

Smith had 14 carries for 116 yards and a touchdown and 14 catches for 152 yards and two touchdowns. On kickoff returns, he averaged 27.6 yards and scored a touchdown.

"I love having the ball," Smith said. "I love having the chance to make plays, but who doesn't? If you don't want to have the ball in your hands and make plays, then you probably shouldn't be playing.

"But whatever coach says. I'll block. I'll tackle. I'll do whatever as long as we're playing this time next year. That's all that matters to me."

Brad Smith's foundation gives him important position in hometown

BradSmithTrueFoundation
About a thousand kids around Youngstown, Ohio, have gone through Buffalo Bills receiver Brad Smith's camps and workshops staged by his True Foundation. (Photo: Courtesy True Foundation)

By Tim Graham

NEW ORLEANS -- What is Brad Smith?

He left college as a record-breaking quarterback, was converted into a wide receiver, was switched back to quarterback and then to receiver again. He's more like a running back when used in Wildcat formations and has excelled as a kick returner.

Whether Smith was with the New York Jets or Buffalo Bills, settling on a label for him has been difficult.

And to about a thousand kids around Youngstown, Ohio, he is called a motivator, a facilitator, an inspiration.

Continue reading "Brad Smith's foundation gives him important position in hometown" »

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About Press Coverage

Tim Graham

Tim Graham

Tim Graham returned to The Buffalo News in 2011 after covering the NFL for three years at ESPN and for one year at the Palm Beach Post. Before that, the Cleveland native spent seven seasons on the Buffalo Sabres beat for The News and was president of the Boxing Writers Association of America.

@ByTimGraham | tgraham@buffnews.com


Mark Gaughan

Mark Gaughan

Buffalo native Mark Gaughan started working at The News in 1980 and has been covering the Bills exclusively since 1992. He is president of the Pro Football Writers of America, and he is a member of the Pro Football Hall of Fame selection committee.

@gggaughan | mgaughan@buffnews.com


Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski

Jay Skurski joined The News in January 2009. The Lewiston native attended St. Francis High School before graduating from the University of South Florida. He writes a weekly Fantasy column in addition to his beat writing duties.

@JaySkurski | jskurski@buffnews.com

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