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The numbers don't lie

Here's a pretty incredible Web site that puts into numbers what we all know: The Sabres' playoff chances are about 1 in 10 at this point, or 9.3 percent if you want to be mathematically specific.

The site is written by a Raleigh computer geek and he calculates a team's odds of making the playoffs in their sport, how today's games impact those odds and how well you need to finish to make the playoffs.

So with that as a backdrop, go here to check out the Sabres' page if you dare. The Sabres have 78 points and it's pretty stark to see that a 92-point finish might not be enough.

If the Sabres finish 7-2, they only have a 54.4 percent chance of making the playoffs. Go 6-1-2 and it's 48.9 percent, less than half. From these numbers, the absolute minimum to have a chance seems to be six wins in the nine games. Even that probably isn't enough.

---Mike Harrington

(Props to Jim Heaney for sending this one my way. For all you regular blog readers, Heaney's Outrages and Insights takes on the News site should absolutely be one of your daily reads).


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John Vogl

John Vogl

John Vogl has been covering the Sabres since 2002-03, an era that has included playoff runs, last-place finishes and three ownership changes. The award-winning writer is the Buffalo chapter chairman for the Professional Hockey Writers’ Association.

@BuffNewsVogl |

About Sabres Edge

Mike Harrington

Mike Harrington

Mike Harrington, a Canisius College graduate who began his career as a News reporter in 1987, has been covering the Buffalo Sabres since 2007. He is a member of the Professional Hockey Writers' Association and can vouch that exposed flesh freezes instantly when walking in downtown Winnipeg in January.

@BNHarrington |

Amy Moritz

Amy Moritz

Amy Moritz, a native of Lockport, has a bachelor’s degree in journalism/mass communication from St. Bonaventure University and a master’s degree in humanities from the University at Buffalo. An endurance athlete, she has completed several triathlons, half marathons and marathons.

@amymoritz |