October 7, 2011 - 5:08 PM
By Gene Kershner
Once again this weekend, Belmont Park will be the scene for a critical “Win and You’re In” Breeders’ Cup (BC) Challenge race, this time featuring 2-year-old colts. The 141st running of the $300,000 Grade 1 Champagne Stakes will be run over a one turn mile in Elmont, New York. The winner qualifies for the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile to be run at Churchill Downs on November 5.
Last year, Uncle Mo pulled off the Champagne-Juvenile double on his way to 2-year-old Male honors. The list of past winners is impressive with names like Spectacular Bid, Seattle Slew, Alydar, Easy Goer and Foolish Pleasure gracing the history books.
Current New York steward Braulio Baeza won the race five times as a jockey and Johnny Velazquez can equal that mark with a victory on Takes the Gold. Belmont Stakes winning trainer Tim Ice attempts to win a big race at Belmont for the first time in three and one half years since winning the Grade 1 Jockey Club Gold Cup with Summer Bird. He will saddle No Spin, whose sire Johannesburg won the 2001 BC Juvenile on this very Belmont Park strip.
Let’s take a look at the nine challengers hoping to hoist the Moet at the end of the day.
1 – No Spin (20-1) – Sports an impressive bullet work (1/49) at Hawthorne where he breezed 5-furlongs for Ice. It will be his first try on dirt after racing three times on the Arlington polytrack. Has the right breeding, but I’m not sure that will carry him in here.
2 – Speightscity (10-1) – This Speightstown colt won impressively at Saratoga breaking his maiden over 9 furlongs where he crushed the field by 11-1/2 lengths. Corey Nakatani will ride him as Castellano jumps off to ride the favorite, Union Rags. Well-bred, his damsire, Quiet American won the NYRA Mile and Woodward in his illustrious career. Interesting.
3 – Takes the Gold (6-1) – Babe Dutrow lured Johnny V to ride this Corinthian colt after breaking his maiden on him three weeks ago at Belmont in a one mile race. Only one other horse in the field has a race over Big Sandy. Velazquez also rode Speightscity, so both he and Castellano pass on the #2 horse in favor of others. His sire, Corinthian was first BC Dirt Mile at Monmouth in 2007. Considering for a big piece.
4 – Power World (8-1) – You can throw out his last, a dull effort in the slop in the Grade 1 Hopeful after finishing a well beaten second in the Grade 2 Sanford behind highly regarded Overdriven. Will probably look elsewhere.
5 – Alpha (5-2) – Uber-impressive winning a $55K maiden special weight on the Woodward undercard at the Spa. He also has a solid breeze on the latest work tab. Looks fit and ready to explode. “Union Rags is the horse to beat but we like our horse,” said trainer Kiaran McLaughlin of Alpha, who will sport the blue Godolphin silks Saturday. “He’s doing great and the one mile should suit. We just broke his maiden, so it’s a big step to a Grade 1. The timing is good, with him having had his first race a month ago. As racing goes, you’d like to start them a little earlier, but we’re here now. We think he fits well.” The pick.
6 – Union Rags (7-5) – Impressive win in the Grade 2 Saratoga Special propels him as the chalk. Trainer Michael Matz enters his unbeaten 2-year-old with hot jockey Javier Castellano who is winning at a 23 percent clip at Belmont. The Dixie Union colt won in the slop by 7-1/4 lengths in mid-August and shouldn’t have any problem stretching out to a mile. Should be in contention throughout.
7 – Right to Vote (12-1) - Won at Belmont three weeks ago, breaking his maiden with Castellano aboard. Alex Solis takes over the mount for trainer Eoin Harty who has struggled with 2-year olds this year. Not sure he’s quite fast enough after shipping in from Kentucky.
8 – Invocation (20-1) – A distant second to Alpha in the maiden race at the Spa. Trainer Kimmel has a $4.03 ROI in graded stakes, so has been known to win with a bomb every now and then. Young David Cohen has had a decent meeting so far and gets the mount. Leaning elsewhere.
9 – Laurie’s Rocket (30-1) – Bluegrass Cat colt didn’t like the slop in the Hopeful, was caught five wide and finished a distant fourth. Will be the longest shot on the board, and rightly so.
Post Time Outlook: 1 – Alpha; 2 – Takes the Gold; 3 – Union Rags
Long shot: Speightscity
The field for the Grade 1, $300,000 Champagne:
|
PP
|
Horse
|
Jockey
|
Wgt
|
Trainer
|
Odds
|
|
1
|
No Spin (KY)
|
R Maragh
|
122
|
T A Ice
|
20-1
|
|
2
|
Speightscity (KY)
|
C S Nakatani
|
122
|
G C Contessa
|
10-1
|
|
3
|
Takes the Gold (KY)
|
J R Velazquez
|
122
|
R E Dutrow, Jr.
|
6-1
|
|
4
|
Power World (KY)
|
E S Prado
|
122
|
N J Howard
|
8-1
|
|
5
|
Alpha (KY)
|
A Garcia
|
122
|
K P McLaughlin
|
5-2
|
|
6
|
Union Rags (KY)
|
J Castellano
|
122
|
M R Matz
|
7-5
|
|
7
|
Right to Vote (KY)
|
A O Solis
|
122
|
E G Harty
|
12-1
|
|
8
|
Invocation (KY)
|
D Cohen
|
122
|
J C Kimmel
|
20-1
|
|
9
|
Laurie's Rocket (KY)
|
C H Velasquez
|
122
|
D Stewart
|
30-1
|
Gene Kershner is a Buffalo-based turf writer and handicapper who blogs at equispace.blogspot.com and tweets @EquiSpace.