By Gene Kershner
After finishing .500 in our 2012 racing predictions we hit the skids in our 2013 predictions and up until Breeders' Cup weekend our Kreskin-like prognostications appeared that a big old goose egg was in the cards. But he headed out to California with our rally caps on and finished 2 for 10, hitting our last two predictions at Santa Anita to wrap up the year. Our final post of this year in December will take a look at our 2014 Kreskin predictions…stay tuned. Here's an overview of this year's guesses with some color commentary:
- 1. Ramon Dominguez will win the jockey title at the inner meet at the Big A by at least 25 victories. In 2010, Ramon won it by 29, in 2011 by 57 and last year he lost by one to Cornelio Velasquez. Whoops. I hope I didn’t jinx him with this prediction. Who would have guessed he would take a bad spill during this meeting that would basically end his riding career. Not a good start. By the way, Javier Castellano took the jockey title during the winter meeting at the Big A.
- 2. The Derby winner will come from a middle post. Orb came from an outside gate (posts 15 through 20), winning the Run for the Roses from post No. 16. The second place finisher came from the inside gate (Golden Soul, post No. 4), so we weren't even close.
- 3. The Derby winner will come out of the Arkansas Derby. After selecting the Florida Derby the past two years, who win? The Florida Derby winner, of course. Overanalyze, who was being touted by superb handicapper Steve Crist, finished 11th and we are looking at three up and three down.
- 4. There will be an inquiry or objection in one of the three Triple Crown races. Nope. Nada. Nil. Nice try, Kreskin. Not looking good, race fans.
- 5. The Derby winner will not run again in 2013 after the Preakness. Oh, I meant to write that he wouldn't win again after the Preakness. Orb actually ran in the Belmont (third), Travers (third) and Jockey Club Gold Cup (eighth) before retiring earlier in the month. Zippo for five.
- 6. Roger Attfield wins a record ninth Queen’s Plate. It might have helped my cause if he had a starter in the race. Fort Erie's Nick Gonzalez won it with 16-1 Midnight Aria. You can give me a slight break here as I did pick the $35 winner in the paper!
- 7. The Haskell Hat is White. I went with white and it ended up black. I guess it wasn't exactly black and white. Par for the course.Lots of zeros in the win column.
- 8. Churchill Downs will be awarded the 2014 Breeders’ Cup. It’s been a two-track rotation for six straight years. I doubled down that the BC Board loves those big Churchill crowds and handle numbers to return under the Twin Spires in ’14. However, this is why they call it gambling. Eight up and eight down, picks on life support at this point.
- 9. The post time favorite will finish off the board in the Classic. Exact quote: "Game on Dude would have held serve for me here, but will it happen in back-to-back years? I say it will." BOOM! We're on the board and off the schneid.
- 10. A 3-year old will finish first or second in the Classic. Will. Take. Charge. We made a valiant comeback at the end to finish at the Mendoza line for 2013. I was a little worried about the shutout going into Santa Anita. But D. Wayne Lukas' big colt saved the day, finishing second by a nostril.
I hope you enjoyed the recap and we'll be thinking about some fun 2014 predictions in our year end blog.